Page 66 - index

މОცࠅ၁ᅺᜀࠇྌ (BEAM-Plus) աՑ೯࢝ਠᛇڎd౤৷əᅽρٙঐ๕ࣖू
ձᐑڭࣖঐfܔጘيঐ๕ࣖूૢԷ ( ୋ 610 ௝ ) ί 2012
ִ݁ගंࡉᜊʷਖ਼ژ։ࡰึ (IPCC) ί 2013 ϋ೯ڌٙୋ ϋ 9 ˜͛ࣖdࠅӋอໝϓᅽρձତϞᅽρආБࠠɽҷܔ
ʞ΅൙Пజѓ (AR5)d౤̈ə˿ɛᅊᅇٙऊࢹ --- ɽंʕ ࣛd̬ධ˴ࠅᅽρண݄ༀໄ(٤ሜeཥɢeʺࠥዚʿཥ૒d
ٙ๝܃ं᜗ʊ༺Ցəۃה͊Ϟٙ˥̻f ୋʞ΅൙Пజѓ ˸ʿ๫׼ӻ୕ )dѩცࠅୌΥܔጘيঐ๕ࣖूςۆΐ׼ٙ
౤Ցd˜1983 ϋЇ 2012 ϋಂගd݊̏̒ଢɓɷ̬ϵϋ ঐ๕ࣖूᅺ๟ձࠅӋ ( ࠰ಥִ݁ɓ१ஷ , 2014)f
Ը௰๝าٙɧɤϋf̏฽ऎΏձی฽ٙΏႊ͍ίൂᐵf
Ͼ 1901 ϋ˸ԸdΌଢऎ˥̻ѩɪʺə 0.19 Ϸf™ (IPCC, ˸ɪ౤ʿٙણ݄˴ࠅၳೊ׵ᅽρίԴ͜චݬٙঐ๕ࣖू
2013) ձર׳ඎfܔጘҿࣘٙ၁ԑ༦ՉྼΝᅵࠠࠅdШֻֻ஗
ׁൖf˸ֻٙ޼Ӻᜑͪdఊ݊͛ପܔጘҿࣘཀ೻ٙ๝܃
ं᜗ર׳ඎdʊЦܔጘචݬٙ 70% (Smith et al., 2002)d
Ͼίᅽρྪնऊঃঐ๕˙ࠦd͵Ц 15% (Harris, 1999)f
ν؈ίணࠇʿܔጘචݬʊ፯͜Э၁ܔҿdఱ̙˸ɽషಯ
Эܔጘ͛ն඄ಂٙў၁ඎfΪϤᔫฐ፯͜Э၁ܔጘҿࣘd
݊௰ɽࠢܓήಯˇ๝܃ं᜗ર׳̙ٙ՟˙جf

ᛠ׵̹ఙɪ࿁׵Э၁ܔҿٙ༟ৃம˶ձਞࢨd̋ɪ͉ή
̹ఙცࠅɓࢁ፯͜Э၁ܔҿٙ୕ɓᅺᜀՓܓdܔிุᙄ
ึᒍɨٙᐑྤʿҦஔ։ࡰึ (Com-ENT) ։ৄ࠰ಥɽኪٙ
޼Ӻʃଡ଼dආБ၁ᅺᜀ࣪ݖٙ޼ӺdᜫႡிਠࠇၑପۜ
ٙ၁ԑ༦d˸ʿһࠠࠅٙ݊dᗆйᆑίٙಯરዚึfᐑ
ྤʿҦஔ։ࡰึᒍɨٙ၁ᅺᜀ࣪ݖਖ਼பʃଡ଼͟ර˂ୂʈ
೻ࢪჯኬdࠋப္ຖʿ္಻޼Ӻٙආ࢝fਖ਼பʃଡ଼ϓࡰ
ܼ̍઺બeʈ೻ࢪeਖ਼࢕ձุޢჯஙdί዆ࡈ޼Ӻಂග
ձྼ݄චݬd౤Զəਖ਼ุձϞܔண׌ٙจԈf

࣪ݖ೯࢝

ྡ 2 1901 – 2010 ϋಂග̏฽ऎΏࠦጐ ( ̸ ) ʿΌଢऎݱ˥̻ ( ̛ ) މəܔͭ၁ᅺᜀ࣪ݖd޼Ӻࠇྌί̬ࡈʔΝШɦʝ޴ᗫ
(IPCC, 2013)
ᑌٙචݬdԴ͜तйணࠇٙ޼Ӻ˙جආБdνྡ 4 הΐf
࠰ಥ˂˖̨ٙߏ፽ᜑͪdίཀ̘ɓϵɧɤϋԸd࠰ಥٙ
๝ܓ˸ӊɤϋᙲˤ 0.12 ܓٙ஺ܓɪʺdϾί௰ڐٙɧɤ
ϋdं๝ٙɪʺ஺ܓһᄣ̋Їӊɤϋᙲˤ 0.20 ܓ ( ྡ
3)f֢ИίΌଢɛɹ੗ܓ௰৷̹۬ٙ࠰ಥ̹͏d࿁ฏԸ
ฏᘌࠠٙɛމ๝܃ं᜗ર׳੭Ըٙܝ؈dଉڌᗫءf

ྡ 4 ޼Ӻ˙ج

޼ӺٙڋಂචݬආБəɓӻΐٙ̒ഐ࿴׌ஞሔdΣԸІ
ִ݁e೯࢝ਠeڢִ݁ଡ଼ᔌeᚥਪeוܔਠʿيࣘԶᏐ
ྡ 3 ࠰ಥ˂˖̨ί 1885-2013 ϋಂගߏ፽ٙϋ̻ѩं๝ (HKO, 2014)
ਠഃุʫɛɻdϗණ࿁ܔͭอ၁ᅺᜀࠇྌٙจԈfɽ௅
΅աஞٙਖ਼ุɛɻ࿁ุޢಯˇ၁ԑ༦ٙᙄᕚڢ੬ชጳ
࠰ಥٙܔጘيЦΌಥཥɢऊঃඎߒɘϓdίҷഛঐ๕ ሳdԨႩމࠅί࠰ಥܔிุપᄿԴ͜Э၁ܔҿdࠈͭܔ
ࣖू˸ʿಯˇܔጘձᅽρண݄ٙ၁ર׳ඎ˙ࠦdՈϞ ҿ၁ᅺᜀࠇྌ݊ැί̀Бfաஞุٙʫɛɻ͵ΝจdᏐ
฽ɽᆑɢf͉ήܔிุٙ຅ਕʘܢఱ݊މᒕΣЭ၁ܔ މܔጘҿࣘࠈͭ͛ն඄ಂ๝܃ર׳ᅺᜀdᅺ׼̴ࡁ࿁Ό
ጘમ՟БਗfڐϋdҢࡁܘ৷ጳ޶ԈၠЍܔጘ൙Пࠇྌ ଢंࡉᜊʷٙᅂᚤfϤ̮d͵Ꮠ࣬ኽ͉ɺઋرձ਷ყᅺ

64 ጘͦ 2014 ϋ 5˜